This is part 2 of 10 of the 10 Pitfalls of Agility on Large Projects. In part 1, we talked about how planning a month or less ahead is not enough on a very large project, and what to do about it.
Here’s some of why people say that long-term, full-detail plans are essential:
- You need the detailed work breakdown structure through the end of the project to produce estimates.
- And you need estimates to schedule handoffs, deliverables, and other dependences between teams.
- And as things do change, you need a plan through which to communicate those changes.
How can we satisfy these needs while still allowing small teams latitude to adapt and be agile?
Concern #1 is a red herring of sorts. Estimates constructed from a detailed WBS are not the most accurate, if you’re in a domain with significant unknowns (like most new product development). In these domains, you’ll get much better estimates from other methods like an experienced expert or group of experts using a technique like Wideband Delphi. For more, see a book like McConnell’s Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art
#2 is a dominant concern for organizations with long internal lead times. The motivation and techniques for attacking this problem in other ways is what lean thinking is all about. In short, agile/lean teams are much better equipped to handle changes in other teams’ plans, so they don’t need those plans to be as firm. It’s a self-reinforcing benefit of shorter cycles that pays off in spades. The trick is keeping the peace during the (often long) transition period where an organization has a mix of long-cycle and short-cycle teams. These solutions to #3 can help during this transition.
Concern #3 speaks to allowing your high and low level plans to evolve as you progress and learn. But how do you keep them in sync?

- Have top-down goals and priorities that are clear about the customer and business need, but that don’t over-anticipate the technology to best fulfill that need.
- Be prepared to take top-down input and provide bottom-up feedback as part of your regular planning cycle (e.g. Scrum’s monthly sprint planning).
- For inputs, the Scrum Product Backlog and processes around it are an effective way to turn top-down priorities into actionable technical workitems.
- For feedback, provide actuals. In order to keep the trust of the organization, some kind of actuals in terms of feature throughput, earned value, or time data, etc. are essential. If agile teams “go dark” on a large organization, it becomes harder maintain trust when things go bad (as they invariably will from time to time on a large project).
- For feedback, provide new estimates on the larger goals, based on this last cycle’s progress on specific workitems. To make this feasible, use a fast group estimation method like planning poker or its elder kin, wideband delphi.
- As the size of the team goes up and dependencies between teams get more tangled, coordination on just a monthly basis isn’t enough. Getting information more frequently than your usual planning cycle (or getting your planning cycle down to one or two week sprints) may become essential. The diagram above says weekly (which might match an org with more than 6-8 Scrum teams).
This might also be the threshold where project management specialists are called for — don’t distract your project leads with sub-sprint communication and coordination between teams. But also don’t lose Scrum’s designed benefit of protecting teams from constant interrupts — the team controls whether their plan changes within a sprint. Project Managers can help make sure status and communication flow between teams even during a sprint, but they (like all stakeholders) should be prepared to hold new work and priority changes until teams plan their next sprint.
If you’re adopting short-cycle methods in a (long-cycle) large organization — what are your pain points that weren’t covered here. And how have you adapted?



Kanban discussion
Kanban Group
Norman Bodek | 22-Nov-07 at 6:42 pm | Permalink
A new book from Dr. Shigeo Shingo the co-creator of the Toyota Production System (Lean manufacturing)
November 16, 2007 Vancouver, Washington
Announcing a new hardcover Shigeo Shingo book, Kaizen and the Art of Creative Thinking. Once again Dr. Shingo will amaze you. Along with Taiichi Ohno, Dr. Shingo co-developed TPS (LEAN) with his deep understanding of how to improve the overall process of production. Dr. Shingo reveals how he taught Toyota and other Japanese companies the art of identifying and solving problems.
Many companies in the West are trying to emulate Lean but few can do it. Why not? Possibly, because we in the West do not recognize, develop and support the creative potential of every worker in solving problems. Toyota makes all employees problem solvers. Shingo gives you the tools to do it.
It is an easy to read brilliant book!
Dr. Shingo presents six unique models, the sum of which he calls the Scientific Thinking Mechanism. These frameworks allow groups to deconstruct problems and rebuild them into powerful improvement ideas. This concept is central to TPS and provides the necessary foundation for any Lean Initiative to be built upon.
Download a chapter of the book from: http://www.superfactory.com/ar.....xcerpt.htm
“Dr. Shingo was a master of Kaizen, he had the scientific training and innovative genius to deeply understand processes and the humility to realize that he needed the operators to take ownership. We are fortunate to have this new opportunity to gaze deeply into the thinking of one of the true geniuses behind TPS. —Dr. Shigeo Shingo.” – From the foreword by Jeffrey K. Liker, Ph. D., New York Times best-selling author of The Toyota Way
“This book contains a myriad of case studies taken from office examples as well as shop floors. It is a gold mine of improvement ideas that cumulatively must have saved millions, and could still do so today!” Don Dewar, President & Founder Quality Digest Magazine
“Kaizen and the Art of Creative Thinking is a revealing book and is the genesis manuscript to the Lean Manufacturing mindset. It captures the fundamental thought process to structure problem solving activities and is the foundation to all essential aspects of the Kaizen philosophy. Truly a wealth of knowledge, wisdom and frameworks to embolden you to change existing practices!” - Michel Mestre, Ph.D. Professor, School of Business Northwest University
“For those of us who have revered the work of Dr. Shingo, this is an exciting work. More so than any other of his books - Bill Kluck, President Northwest Lean Network
“Practicing Kaizen (the habit of making small improvements) eludes many people. Dr. Shingo’s Scientific Thinking Mechanism replaces the hope of the flash of creativity with a reliable and learnable habit-building approach. Thanks for making this Rosetta Stone for Kaizen available to the world.” - Hal Macomber, Principal Lean Project Consulting, Inc.
“This book teaches managers to be problem solvers instead of problem chasers.” – Collin McLoughlin, co-publisher
Dr, Shingo’s earlier books were: A Revolution in Manufacturing: The SMED System, Study of the Toyota Production System: From an Industrial Engineering Viewpoint, Zero Quality Control: Source Inspection and the Poka-Yoke System, The Sayings of Shigeo Shingo: Key Strategies for Plant Improvement, The Shingo Production Management System: Improving Process Functions, Non-stock Production: The Shingo System of Continuous Improvement
Norman Bodek in 1979 started Productivity Inc.- Press and published hundreds of books on Toyota and Japanese management. Contact: 360-737-1883 bodek@pcspress.com
The book retails for $59.40 and is available at http://www.enna.com
Best wishes,
Norman Bodek
PCS Inc.
809 SE 73rd Ave.
Vancouver, WA 98664
1-360-737-1883
bodek@pcspress.com
http://www.pcspress.com